GlobalEnvironmentCuratedmedium confidence

Biodiversity Collapse

Wildlife populations have fallen catastrophically and extinction rates are far above the natural background.

Severity score

70.6

Critical · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

What this is

Monitored vertebrate populations have declined dramatically over recent decades, insect biomass is falling in many monitored regions, and roughly a million species are assessed as threatened with extinction. The primary drivers are land use change, overexploitation, pollution, invasive species and climate change. The human cost is indirect but large: pollination, fisheries, water regulation and disease buffering all depend on functioning ecosystems.

Score breakdown

Loss of life

30

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

88

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

82

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

98

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

85

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.