Democratic Backsliding
More people now live under autocratising governments than democratising ones.
Severity score
47.8
Serious · default weighting
Trajectory
Worsening
What this is
Independent courts, electoral commissions and civil society are being dismantled across a widening set of countries, often through legal means. The trend correlates with worse conflict, corruption and rights outcomes, and reversals are historically rare.
Score breakdown
Loss of life
20Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.
Lives negatively impacted
88People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.
Financial cost
58Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.
Environmental impact
4Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.
Trajectory
76Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.