Libya Instability
A divided state, migrant abuse and periodic armed clashes over a decade after the civil war.
Severity score
32.2
Limited · default weighting
Trajectory
Steady
What this is
Libya remains split between rival administrations with armed groups controlling territory and revenue. It is also the main departure point for Mediterranean crossings, and detention conditions for migrants are documented as systematically abusive.
Score breakdown
Loss of life
40Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.
Lives negatively impacted
44People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.
Financial cost
26Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.
Environmental impact
8Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.
Trajectory
28Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.