The Threat List

Status:Health

GlobalHealthSince 1950Deep-sourcedhigh confidence

Air Pollution

Fine particulate and ozone pollution is one of the largest single killers on earth, concentrated in Asia and Africa.

Severity score

86.4

Catastrophic · default weighting

Trajectory

Steady

How this is ranked

What this is

Ambient and household air pollution together are associated with millions of premature deaths per year through heart disease, stroke, lung cancer, COPD and lower respiratory infections. Exposure is heavily concentrated in South Asia, East Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. Unlike a discrete disaster, air pollution is a continuous condition, which makes it easy to overlook despite a death toll larger than most wars combined.

Score breakdown

Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.

Loss of life

96

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

96

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

98

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

60

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

50

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Audit trail

Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.

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