Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict
A resolved territorial war that produced the near-total displacement of a population.
Severity score
22.1
Limited · default weighting
Trajectory
Improving
What this is
The 2023 Azerbaijani operation ended Armenian control of Nagorno-Karabakh and effectively the entire Armenian population left within days. Border tensions and prisoner disputes persist, and a durable peace treaty remains unsigned.
Score breakdown
Loss of life
26Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.
Lives negatively impacted
36People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.
Financial cost
14Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.
Environmental impact
6Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.
Trajectory
16Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.