The Threat List

Status:Conflict

Central AfricaConflictSince 2013Deep-sourcedmedium confidence

Central African Republic Conflict

A long-running armed conflict that has displaced a fifth of the population.

Severity score

33.0

Limited · default weighting

Trajectory

Steady

How this is ranked

What this is

Armed groups and foreign mercenary forces continue to contest territory outside the capital. Half the population needs humanitarian assistance and access outside Bangui is often impossible. The crisis attracts very little international attention or funding.

Score breakdown

Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.

Loss of life

34

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

58

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

18

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

10

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

32

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Recent coverage

Audit trail

Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.

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