The Threat List

Status:Conflict

South AmericaConflictSince 1964Deep-sourcedmedium confidence

Colombia Armed Group Violence

Post-peace-deal fragmentation has left armed groups controlling large rural areas.

Severity score

53.9

Severe · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

How this is ranked

What this is

Dissident FARC factions, the ELN and successor paramilitary groups compete over coca, gold and migration routes. Social leaders and land rights defenders are murdered at some of the highest rates in the world, and displacement continues despite the 2016 peace agreement.

Score breakdown

Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.

Loss of life

66

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

76

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

34

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

26

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

44

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Audit trail

Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.

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