GlobalEnvironmentCuratedhigh confidence

Deforestation and Land Degradation

Forest loss continues at millions of hectares per year, undermining climate stability, water cycles and food systems.

Severity score

61.4

Severe · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

What this is

The world loses roughly 10 million hectares of forest per year, driven by cattle ranching, soy, palm oil, logging and mining. The Amazon in particular is approaching a hypothesised dieback threshold beyond which large areas transition to degraded savanna, which would release enormous carbon stores and disrupt rainfall across South America. Land degradation more broadly affects a large share of global agricultural land and directly threatens food production.

Score breakdown

Loss of life

25

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

80

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

58

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

95

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

80

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.