The Threat List

Status:Conflict

East AfricaConflictSince 2020Deep-sourcedlow confidence

Ethiopia Internal Conflicts

Fighting in Amhara and Oromia continues after the Tigray war, with severe humanitarian consequences.

Severity score

60.7

Severe · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

How this is ranked

What this is

The Tigray war ended in a fragile agreement but conflict shifted to Amhara and Oromia. Health facilities and schools remain destroyed across the north, and drought in the lowlands compounds displacement. Access for aid agencies is heavily restricted.

Score breakdown

Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.

Loss of life

80

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

86

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

40

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

12

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

54

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Audit trail

Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.

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