The Threat List

Status:Economic

GlobalEconomicDeep-sourcedhigh confidence

Extreme Poverty

Around seven hundred million people live on less than the international poverty line.

Severity score

58.5

Severe · default weighting

Trajectory

Steady

How this is ranked

What this is

Progress on extreme poverty stalled after 2020 and reversed in parts of Sub-Saharan Africa and conflict-affected states. Poverty is now increasingly concentrated in fragile and conflict-affected countries, where growth alone will not resolve it.

Score breakdown

Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.

Loss of life

52

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

96

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

70

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

10

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

34

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Audit trail

Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.

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