GlobalHumanitarianCuratedhigh confidence

Global Forced Displacement

Over 120 million people have been forced from their homes, the highest number ever recorded.

Severity score

61.8

Severe · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

What this is

The global displaced population has risen every year for more than a decade, driven by Syria, Ukraine, Sudan, Afghanistan, Venezuela, Myanmar and dozens of smaller crises. Displacement is both a consequence of other events on this index and a cause of harm in its own right: it interrupts education, destroys livelihoods, exposes people to trafficking and exploitation, and destabilises host regions. Humanitarian funding has failed to keep pace, with appeals routinely funded below half.

Score breakdown

Loss of life

45

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

92

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

60

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

30

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

88

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.