CaribbeanConflictSince 2021Curatedlow confidence

Haiti State Collapse

Armed gangs control most of the capital amid state failure, hunger and mass displacement.

Severity score

46.9

Serious · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

What this is

Following the 2021 assassination of President Moise, armed gangs expanded to control the majority of Port-au-Prince, cutting off ports, fuel and food distribution. The state has effectively ceased to function across large parts of the country. Sexual violence, kidnapping and forced recruitment of children are widespread, and cholera has returned. A multinational security support mission has had limited effect.

Score breakdown

Loss of life

48

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

60

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

20

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

30

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

90

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.