The Threat List

Status:Humanitarian

GlobalHumanitarianSince 2020Deep-sourcedhigh confidence

Learning Poverty

Most children in poor countries cannot read a simple story by age ten.

Severity score

49.0

Serious · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

How this is ranked

What this is

Around seven in ten children in low and middle income countries cannot read and understand basic text by the end of primary school, a figure that worsened sharply after pandemic school closures. This is the single largest constraint on long-run development.

Score breakdown

Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.

Loss of life

6

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

94

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

90

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

2

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

54

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Audit trail

Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.

Loading history…