Cabo Delgado Insurgency
An Islamist insurgency in northern Mozambique sitting on top of a major gas project.
Severity score
33.7
Limited · default weighting
Trajectory
Worsening
What this is
Attacks in Cabo Delgado have repeatedly displaced hundreds of thousands of people and stalled one of the largest energy investments in Africa. Civilians face abduction and repeated forced movement, and returns are frequently reversed by new attacks.
Score breakdown
Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.
Loss of life
28Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.
Lives negatively impacted
52People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.
Financial cost
26Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.
Environmental impact
10Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.
Trajectory
56Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.
Audit trail
Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.
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