The Threat List

Status:Conflict

The Threat List
← Back to the index
Southeast AsiaConflictSince 2021Deep-sourcedlow confidence

Myanmar Civil War

A nationwide armed resistance to military rule has produced mass displacement, airstrikes on civilians and economic collapse.

Severity score

68.5

Critical · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

How this is ranked

What this is

The February 2021 coup triggered mass protest, brutal repression and the emergence of a nationwide armed resistance combining new People's Defence Forces with long-established ethnic armed organisations. The military has responded with airstrikes, village burnings and blockades of aid. Alongside the war, the Rohingya remain in mass exile in Bangladesh following the 2017 clearance operations.

Score breakdown

Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.

Loss of life

73

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

80

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

55

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

45

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

88

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Recent coverage

Audit trail

Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.

Loading history…