West AfricaConflictSince 2009Curatedmedium confidence

Nigeria Insecurity and Banditry

Insurgency in the northeast and armed banditry in the northwest have displaced millions.

Severity score

56.5

Severe · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

What this is

Boko Haram and ISWAP remain active in the Lake Chad basin while mass kidnapping and armed banditry have spread across the northwest. Farmer-herder conflict adds a further layer. The combined effect is severe food insecurity and school closures across northern Nigeria.

Score breakdown

Loss of life

64

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

84

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

42

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

14

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

58

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.