Somalia Conflict and Al-Shabaab Insurgency
Insurgency, clan conflict and repeated drought compound one of the worst humanitarian situations on earth.
Severity score
51.6
Severe · default weighting
Trajectory
Worsening
What this is
Decades of state fragility, an entrenched insurgency and cycles of drought and flood have left millions displaced and dependent on aid. Humanitarian access is restricted across large parts of the country and funding appeals are routinely less than half met.
Score breakdown
Loss of life
56Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.
Lives negatively impacted
76People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.
Financial cost
34Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.
Environmental impact
20Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.
Trajectory
60Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.