The Threat List

Status:Conflict

East AfricaConflictSince 2013Deep-sourcedmedium confidenceSourcing reviewed 2026-09-21

South Sudan Crisis

Political violence, flooding and economic collapse in the world youngest country.

Severity score

66.1

Critical · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

How this is ranked

What this is

South Sudan combines armed political conflict, extreme flooding, collapsed oil revenue and hyperinflation. Most of the population needs humanitarian aid, and the country also hosts hundreds of thousands fleeing the war in Sudan next door.

Score breakdown

Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.

Loss of life

72

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

80

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

43

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

51

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

82

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Recent coverage

Audit trail

Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.

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