East AfricaConflictSince 2023Curatedlow confidence

Sudan Civil War

Fighting between the army and the RSF has produced the world's largest displacement and hunger crisis.

Severity score

70.4

Critical · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

What this is

War between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces broke out in April 2023 and spread from Khartoum across Darfur and Kordofan. It has produced the largest displacement crisis in the world, catastrophic famine conditions in multiple localities, ethnically targeted mass killings in Darfur, and near-total collapse of the health system. Reporting access is severely restricted, so death tolls are widely believed to be substantial undercounts.

Score breakdown

Loss of life

82

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

88

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

45

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

35

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

95

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Recent coverage