The Threat List

Status:Conflict

Middle EastConflictSince 2011Deep-sourcedmedium confidence

Syria Post-War Crisis

Fourteen years of war left a shattered state, mass displacement and a stalled recovery.

Severity score

70.9

Critical · default weighting

Trajectory

Steady

How this is ranked

What this is

Syria remains one of the largest displacement crises in the world, with millions internally displaced and millions more as refugees in neighbouring countries. Infrastructure, health care and the economy were largely destroyed, and reconstruction financing remains politically blocked.

Score breakdown

Each factor is a 0–100 relative severity index, not the raw figure or a specific time period. The actual counts and periods are listed under "Standardized Impact" on the right.

Loss of life

84

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

88

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

80

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

26

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

38

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.

Audit trail

Everything this entry has been through — when it was first searched for, queued, reviewed and approved, and how its figures and rank have moved since.

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