GlobalDisasterCuratedhigh confidence

Intensifying Tropical Cyclones

Storms are intensifying faster and carrying more water than the infrastructure was built for.

Severity score

64.6

Severe · default weighting

Trajectory

Worsening

What this is

Warmer oceans are producing more rapid intensification and greater rainfall totals, while sea level rise amplifies storm surge. Exposure is growing because coastal populations continue to increase in precisely the most vulnerable places.

Score breakdown

Loss of life

48

Direct and attributable mortality, normalised across annual and cumulative tolls.

Lives negatively impacted

80

People displaced, injured, food-insecure, exposed or otherwise materially harmed.

Financial cost

74

Direct damage, lost output and health-system spend attributable to the event.

Environmental impact

52

Emissions, habitat and biodiversity loss, contamination and irreversibility.

Trajectory

76

Whether the situation is escalating, and how much worse it is plausibly getting.